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По поводу сегодняшнего инцидента рекомендую статью известной журналистки респектабельного издания Defense News:

Israel’s Arrow scores first operational hit — but against what?

Осбоенно хочется обратить внимание на следующую фразу:

A more likely scenario, several experts here said, is that the Syrian regime was so incensed by yet another successful Israeli air attack on its soil that it fired off a Scud-type ballistic missile to make a point.


UPDATE:

Israel explains Arrow intercept of Syrian SAM 


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